tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-29618513.post4327133773429998666..comments2023-09-13T09:59:36.013+01:00Comments on snowflake5: Back to the early 1980's?snowflake5http://www.blogger.com/profile/14700425293614182769noreply@blogger.comBlogger8125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-29618513.post-48185722128276362672009-02-23T00:23:00.000+00:002009-02-23T00:23:00.000+00:00'In the Mayoral and London Authority elections...'In the Mayoral and London Authority elections last year it became apparent that such friendly halflings are far outnumbered by angry motorists, which is why Ken lost.'<BR/><BR/>You are clearly completely out of touch with what happeneed in London last year,if you really believe there are enough 4 x4 & Porsche drivers in central London to defeat Livingstone. <BR/>Livingstone lost Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-29618513.post-7653423794050291502009-02-22T08:29:00.000+00:002009-02-22T08:29:00.000+00:00(Reposted from labourHome where I commented on you...(Reposted from labourHome where I commented on your arguement)<BR/><BR/>Your thesis was that centre left middle classes move from Labour to the LibDems due to the Lindsay dispute. You see a correlation and from that draw causation (a classic mistake).<BR/><BR/>The Ipso-MORI figures show that swing from Labour to the LibDems happened before the strikes. Now let's look at the time series from the Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-29618513.post-63800436169944267482009-02-21T16:55:00.000+00:002009-02-21T16:55:00.000+00:00DevonChap - three polls showing a similar thing ma...DevonChap - three polls showing a similar thing make a trend. One poll (ipsos-mori) showing something different does not. (You could make the same argument against the YouGov poll which showed Labour doing not badly too).<BR/><BR/>At least I'm being realistic about what is happening to Labour, by picking three polls showing a trend against us. You arn't being realistic about what is going on withsnowflake5https://www.blogger.com/profile/14700425293614182769noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-29618513.post-31922183905453622272009-02-20T08:11:00.000+00:002009-02-20T08:11:00.000+00:00Not looking clever for Brown now - would Harriet h...Not looking clever for Brown now - would Harriet have a better chance at the election ?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-29618513.post-60803848381312759942009-02-17T13:35:00.000+00:002009-02-17T13:35:00.000+00:00The latest Ipso-Mori poll undermines your argument...The latest Ipso-Mori poll undermines your argument that the decline in Labour's support is down to union militancy demonstrated at the Lindsey refinery. <BR/><BR/>Mori has the rise in Lib Dem support predating the strikes and has stopped sicne they started<BR/><BR/>Date CON LAB LIB<BR/>16/02/2009 48 28 17<BR/>18/01/2009 44 30 17<BR/>14/12/2008 39 35 15<BR/>11/12/2008 41 36 11<BR/><BR/>http://Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-29618513.post-36976269769407835212009-02-16T09:00:00.000+00:002009-02-16T09:00:00.000+00:00Snowflake wrote: "There exists in Britain a large ...Snowflake wrote: "There exists in Britain a large internationalist and europhile group who are moderate, centrist and mostly middle class, and who have decided every single general election since the 1970's."<BR/><BR/>Of course any "group" which is larger than the majority in key marginals can be said to have done this.<BR/><BR/>I should think Hornsey in N London contains a fair selection of Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-29618513.post-19956410658026697512009-02-15T22:13:00.000+00:002009-02-15T22:13:00.000+00:00I suspect it is far more prosaic, and that the thi...I suspect it is far more prosaic, and that the third party are benefiting from the usual midterm protest vote. Clegg is better established than he was when people were last very peed off with Labour and Brown a few months back.<BR/><BR/>Most people respond to opinion polls between Parliamentary general Elections as though they either have indigestion or a pleasant night in with their partner.<BR/Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-29618513.post-70993197800999504932009-02-15T21:21:00.000+00:002009-02-15T21:21:00.000+00:00Hmm, where to start.I sincerely doubt that Foot's ...Hmm, where to start.<BR/><BR/>I sincerely doubt that Foot's views on the Falklands did much, if you voted based on the war you voted Tory, Labour and Liberal/SDP wouldn't have that as a factor. Labour received 27.6% of the vote. Pretty much it's hard core. Patriotic voters would have weighted Foot's Falklands stance with his anti-NATO unilateralist posture and found him wanting. What would have Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com